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Dansk Underholding (DU) operates a couple of known brands such as Bingosjov, Bingoslottet, and Balletbingo. The names of the sites suggest.


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Mr Green & Co | Redeye

In this comment we will also discuss about the upcoming quarterly report that will be released on Friday this week on the 10th of February.
Dansk Underholding DU operates a couple of known brands such as Bingosjov, Bingoslottet, and Balletbingo.
The names of the sites suggest that the company primarily operates within the Bingo segment, but that is not correct.
The Bingo, which is free-to-play, is mostly used as a customer acquisition tool.
Bingo is not yet regulated in Denmark, but most likely will be in 2018.
Otherwise, Denmark is a regulated market where the companies pay a 20% tax based on gross gaming revenue.
Almost all of DUs revenue is generated from Casino.
Peter Eugen Clausen, the current CEO, co-founded the company eight years ago.
During 2018 the company grew their revenues by 27% and produced an income of EUR 3.
We estimate that the company has an EBITDA margin of about 30%.
We also want to highlight that all of DUs revenues are from a regulated markets, which means that they are currently paying a tax of 20% bingo comparison sites on gross gaming revenues.
If DUs income had been unregulated, the actual EBITDA multiple would have been roughly 4.
All in all, we deem that the price paid for DU is low.
The Danish iGaming market The Danish market for iGaming is estimated to be worth EUR 241m in gross game win during 2018.
Casino is by far the largest product as Bingo is yet to be regulated.
The total market for bingo comparison sites is expected to grow yearly by 4% the next five years.
The organic growth opportunities for Mr Green should be significant the coming years.
Still, we expect that the company will have to invest a fair amount to gain a larger market presence.
DU will continue to operate their brands and will most likely benefit from Mr Greens scale, there should be some obvious synergies.
In conclusion;we believe the acquisition is a smart way to enter the Danish market at a fair price, with a low need for technical investments for further expansion.
The acquisition is made at an attractive price of a company with healthy growth, good profitability, and significant organic prospects.
Mr Green chooses to use cash instead of stock as they most likely find their share as undervalued, a clear sign of shareholder friendliness according to us.
All in all we see the acquisition as attractive and should be positive for the share price.
Next quarter estimates MrGreen will release their report for the fourth quarter of 2018 on Friday the 10 bingo comparison sites of February.
We expect that the company will continue with relatively high marketing level, which will drive the short-term profitability down.
We believe that the most important takeaway from the report will be the growth rate.
The customer intake and deposits also rose significantly, a continued increase in the rate of growth confirm our positive view on Mr Greens prospects even further.
Our membership is about gaining access to unique research and knowledge through our analysts and a network of peers.
Be the first to get information about news and research in the Nordic life science and technology sectors and use our tools and education to reach your personal and professional goals in investing.
Our membership is about gaining access to unique research and knowledge through our analysts and a network of peers.
Be the first to get information about news and research in the Nordic life science and technology sectors and use bingo comparison sites tools and education to reach your personal and professional goals in investing.
Catalyst Potential icon-close Catalyst Potential is behind Premium membership It avslappende bingo comparison sites Block important to look beyond the numbers and seek a likely catalysts, which could unlock value, and estimate how long it will take for the catalyst to play out.
These events, or Catalyst Potential, reduce risk by narrowing the gap between price and value in a more predictable way.
This is particularly important when investing in a low-quality business where time is like a ticking bomb stacked against the company.
These quantitative scores are grouped into five categories, each assessed on a number of quantitative and qualitative questions structured into different sub-categories.
Each sub-category is allocated a number of points and weighted differently according to how important they are deemed to be.
The total number of points for these key sub-categories makes up the rating for each category respectively, based on a scale that ranges from 0 to 10.
Leadership Our Leadership rating represents an assessment of the ability of the board and executive team to lead the company in the best interests of the shareholders.
Companies need highly qualified management to execute a plan to create long-term shareholder value, even if it comes at the expense of short-term results.
A good board and management can make a mediocre business concept profitable, while a poor one can even lead a strong company into crisis.
Companies with a dispersed ownership structure without a clear controlling shareholder have historically performed worse than the market in general over time.
A company that does not grow may be a good short-term investment, but is usually unwise in the long term.
Profitability Our Profitability rating represents an assessment of how effective a company has historically utilised its capital to generate profit.
Companies cannot survive if they are not profitable.
Even the greatest potential is of no benefit unless the balance sheet can cope with funding growth.
At Redeye, we use a discounted cash flow DCF model to discount future cash flows back to today at a rate that reflects the riskiness or uncertainty of those cash flows.
In addition to our cash flow-based analysis we often use a comparables approach to make snapshot comparisons between similar companies within industries or to measure value versus sector or market averages.
Only to indicate whether it is fairly priced relative to some benchmark or peer group in the short term.
Yet price and value are two very distinct concepts.
The key here is to allow for outliers by focusing on the range of possible outcomes, from upside to downside scenarios, rather than a single most likely scenario.
Thinking about ways the plan could go wrong is one way to do it.
But we also try to use specific information about the case to adjust the baseline prediction, if there are particular reasons to expect the optimistic bias to be more or less pronounced in this project than in others of the same type.
For many high-quality businesses, the calculation of this rate can be sensibly informed by their exposure to structural growth drivers, which, in turn, can justify higher growth rates than GDP.
The structural growth component can be driven by secular market trends, technological leadership, a superior business model or any type of durable competitive advantage.
At Redeye, margin of safety is heavily conscious of what could go wrong, not what the discount is to fair value.
We argue that a reasonable margin of safety is achieved when a stock is purchased at price bingo comparison sites or on par with our Bear Case.
Looking more closely at the Bear Case scenario will help one to have a more balanced view than just focusing on the potential upside in the Bull Case scenario.
Though, any worst-case scenario is often more consequential than the forecast itself.
The Bull case serves the sell discipline in order to identify a potential exit.
The key here is to really think long-term in the bull case and be patient.
Patient enough to hold good investments at least until the market is willing to recognise its full potential.
Once a position is taken, the Bull Case will help to avoid premature selling.
Just because prices are not attractive enough to buy is not a reason to sell.
However, a position in a company should be sold entirely when the share price reflects the Bull Case or when cash is needed to take advantage of a superior opportunity elsewhere.
Catalyst Potential Catalyst Potential is a tool for our analyst to flag specific catalysts that may drive the share price.
Investors can use it for identifying and analyzing ongoing or future events that will have a significant impact on performance of publicly traded stocks.
In dealing with the future, we think about four things: a Catalyst Type; what might happen, b Potency; the potential impact on the share price if it happens, c Likelihood; the probability of that it will happen, and d Time frame; when it is expected to happen.
Catalyst Type Identify important events short and longer term in duration that could be catalysts to cause the stock to perform significantly different than its peers or the broader market, i.
Potency and Likelihood Estimate the potency of the event to move the share price up or down and the likelihood for respectively up- and downside scenario to occur rated on a scale of 0 to 3.
Redeye AB is authorised and regulated by the Swedish Financial Supervisory Authority, Finansinspektionen.
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